STOCKS SINK AS UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS REACH NEW HIGH – RSI LIKES GOLD & SHORTS January 29, 2009
Posted by Marlowe Cassetti in CEF, DOG, SDD.trackback
Today in the market, Thursday, January 29, 2009: Caution returned to Wall Street Thursday as unemployment claims reached a record high and new home sales hit a record low — two glaring signs that the economy is still in a deep slump. The major stock indexes gave back all of Wednesday’s gains, and then some.
The Dow Jones industrial average sank 226 points, or 2.7 percent, while other indicators tumbled more than 3 percent. On Wednesday, stocks had soared on hopes that the government will take bad debt off banks’ books.
Investors took a step back Thursday after getting some harsh reminders that it might be a while before the nation’s 14-month-old recession ends. (headline & commentary courtesy of Yahoo Finance)
ETF/CEF High Volatility:
- CEF – Central Fund of Canada Ltd.
- DOG – ProShares Short Dow 30 Fund
- SDD – UltraShort SmallCap 600 Fund
ETF/CEF Discussion: The market reversal today sent RSI to the shorts and to gold. That’s what the RSI model came up with and it is a reversal from its long stance in the past few days. I cannot change the results. I’m just the messenger. I can speculate (and make an excuse) that these volatile times cause strange RSI behavior, but that is a cop out. One really needs to assess the market outlook and take the necessary actions. The question is, however, where this market is heading? I believe we are in a structural bear but I anticipate will get a countertrend bounce up. Maybe this bounce that started last November has run its course, we shall see.
Catch you tomorrow.
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