Market Flat -RSI Has Knives + Change in Methodology

Today in the market, Tuesday June 30, 2008:  The market ended flat after spending most of the day in positive territory. The news that drives the market just wasn’t compelling enough to move stocks beyond neutral. 

RSI’s Themes:  No picks today!  However there are some falling knifes.  Please see methodology note below.  RSI shows a bias towards pointing out healthcare and Pharma funds may be poised to stop their fall and bounce back.  Remember, falling knife candidates are not recommended. 

Catch a Falling Knife:

  • ADRU – BLDRS Europe 100 ADR Index Fund
  • FDV – First Trust DB Strategic Value Index Fund
  • PPH – Pharm Holders
  • PRFH – PowerShares FTSI RAFI Healthcare Sector Portfolio
  • XLV – Health Care Select Sector SPDR

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Methodology Note:

For the past several weeks I have done studies on the feasibility of utilizing ETFs with relatively low volume.  To my surprise I discovered low volume ETFs did not exhibit large bid/ask spreads.  I believe this due to the fact that ETFs are a bunch of stocks that individually trade at larger individual volumes.  If the spread grew too much, this anomaly would be arbitraged away.  A good example is PRFH mentioned above.  It traded for 800 shares today and yet its bid/ask spread was nicely low, unlike stocks that trade on low volume.  Its top ten holdings are the cream of the Healthcare Sector.  Consequently, I have modified RSI to allow the selection of lower volume ETF/CEFs.  Please use caution in any placement of trades.  

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